New Delhi: The results of recently concluded assembly polls in five states are likely to give a major dent to the opposition parties in the Upper House. As UPA does not enjoy a majority in Rajya Sabha, it is dependent on the opposition parties to get a bill approved.

As election of 67 Rajya Sabha members in scheduled within the next 12 months, UPA will look forward to stem its position in the Upper House. By winning the loyalties of Bahujan Samaj Party (BSP) alone, UPA will be in a position to take the opposition parties head on in the Rajya Sabha.

The West Bengal polls have benefitted Trinamool Congress in a big way in the Upper House. The number of party parliamentarians in Rajya Sabha is expected to go up from three to nine. CPI (M) will lose four seats, whereas CPI and RSP will lose one seat each.

One seat of Goa in the Rajya Sabha will be vacated in July. The tenure of eight other Rajya Sabha members will come to an end in August 2011.

By April 2011, the tenure of 58 Rajya Sabha members from 14 states will come to an end. Given the present scenario, UPA’s strength in the Upper House will increase from 89 to 95 seats. With the support of eight nominated members, UPA count can reach 103. If 19 parliamentarians of BSP extend support, the UPA tally will go up to 122.

With the support of one MP each from the BSP and TMC, the UPA will touch the majority figure of 123 in the 245 member house. To touch the magic figure, UPA rather than aiming for smaller parties will have to target BSP alone.

As far as other parties are concerned, BJP and the BJD will gain one seat each, while UPA ally RJD is likely to lose two seats in the Upper House.

JPN/Bureau