Geneva: The Eurozone crisis is turning out to be the biggest threat to the profitability of global aviation industry, with airlines in Asia-Pacific expected to post losses worth USD 1.1 billion out of a total industry loss of USD 8.3 billion next year, global airlines body IATA has said. (Agencies)
With the European sovereign debt crisis "deteriorating into a renewed banking crisis", the International Air Transport Association (IATA) said in this scenario, the airlines in all the regions would fall into losses in 2012.
Europe would be expected to post the deepest losses at USD 4.4 billion, followed by North America at USD 1.8 billion and Asia-Pacific at USD 1.1 billion. The Middle East and Latin America would both be expected to post USD 400 million losses, while Africa would be USD 200 million in the red.
Given this scenario which is estimated to cut global GDP growth to 0.8 percent, "we estimate that this has the potential to cause global industry losses of USD 8.3 billion", IATA's Chief Economist Brian Pearce said here.
Earlier, IATA Director General Tony Tyler said this was "admittedly worst-case but by no means unimaginable—scenario should serve as a wake-up call to governments around the
"In a bad year, aviation's ability to deliver connectivity and keep the heart of the global economy pumping becomes even more vital to initiating a recovery. Government policies need to recognise aviation's vital contribution to the health of the economy," Tyler said.
Painting a gloomy picture for the entire sector next year, Pearce said that airlines would see growth in passenger demand "grind to a halt and a 4.7 percent contraction in cargo markets. Both passenger and cargo yields would fall by 1.5 percent".
However, there would be "some relief" in the fuel prices with the jet fuel bill likely to stabilise at USD 85 per barrel.
"Even our best case scenario for 2012 is for a net margin of just 0.6 percent USD on revenues of USD 618 billion", Pearce said, adding that the industry was really moving at double speed with highly taxed European carriers heading into the red.
Geneva: The Eurozone crisis is turning out to be the biggest threat to the profitability of global aviation industry, with airlines in Asia-Pacific expected to post losses worth USD 1.1 billion out of a total industry loss of USD 8.3 billion next year, global airlines body IATA has said.