The Indian rupee's exchange rate to USD would be at Rs 62.2 by end of next year compared to Rs 62 in the current quarter (Q4 this year), according to a presentation made at the Morgan Stanley's Annual Asia Pacific Summit held here from November 12-14 said.
It is seen at Rs 62.5 in the first two quarters of next year and Rs 62.3 in the third quarter of next year.
Comparative to other Asian GDP growths, India would have the fastest economic expansion, it said.
India's gross domestic product is expected to grow by 6.3 percent in 2015, up from 5.3 this year, it said. "We are constructive on the INR from the outlook perspective," Chetan Ahya, Morgan Stanley's Chief Asia Economist, said.
Strong capital inflow and the current account deficit under-two per cent would add upward pressure on the Rupee. Reforms are providing confidence in the Indian economy growth.
The Indian government's policy action to improve business environment and lower oil prices are among the factors supporting the GDP growth, Ahya said.

Structural reforms related to land, labour and tax supporting the economic growth would support economic growths in the coming years. The risk would be any disruption to execution and delivery of reforms as well as a slowdown in exports, he pointed out.
On imports, the lower oil prices have been helpful and supporting the economic growth. Oil imports were down at 4 percent of the GDP now from 6 percent in 2012.
"It is obviously helping the recovery process," Ahya said.
Meanwhile, Morgan Stanley has forecast a sub-par global growth at 3.5 percent in 2015, up nominally from 3.1 percent this year. In Asia, China's GDP is forecast to contract to 7.1 percent in 2015 from 7.3 percent in 2014.
Asian GDP, excluding Japan's, would grow to 6.3 percent in 2015, up by a small proportion from 6 percent this year.

Japan's GDP growth would be stagnant at 0.8 percent in 2014 and 2015.
Some 1,700 delegates including representatives of 300 global corporations are attending the summit.

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