New Delhi: With Lok Sabha polls due next year, a tracker poll conducted by a TV channel shows that Bharatiya Janata Party-led National Democratic Alliance making significant gains, even as the Congress-led UPA is projected to be hit by the anti-incumbency factor.

In a survey conducted by a TV channel, it has been found that no single party’s pre-poll configuration looks in a comfortable position to form the government and they will have to work very hard to get the support of key allies.

It however says that in this election, the shots will be called by the regional party leaders like Samajwadi Party chief Mulayam Singh Yadav, AIADMK chief Jayalalithaa, TMC boss and West Bengal CM Mamata Banerjee and BSP supremo Mayawati. The survey believes that these parties will be crucial to any move related to formation of the government.  
According to the projections, NDA emerges as the biggest alliance with 156 seats. BJP is also the single largest party with 131 seats. Besides, Shiv Sena gets 15, Akali Dal 7, RPI (Athavle) 2, Nationalist People's Party 1.
The study gives UPA only 136 seats - with Congress bagging 119 seats, NCP 6, RLD 3, JMM 3, IUML 2, National Conference 2 and Kerala Congress (M) 1.
"This is the lowest cumulative total seats that the two big national parties - Congress and BJP, have ever won," the survey says. It appears that an alternative front backed by the outside support of either the Congress or the BJP stands a chance of forming the government, the tracker says.
A third or fourth front led by the SP or AIADMK, which could emerge as the single largest non-Congress, non-BJP party could get the magic mark with the support of one of the larger national parties, the study adds.
"To the key question, who should be the Prime Minister of India, an overwhelming 37.7 percent of those surveyed opted for Narendra Modi. Rahul Gandhi came second with 17.6, Manmohan Singh got 6.2 percent and Sonia Gandhi got 3.9 percent," it says.
The study also said that the projection was based on national cumulative tracking poll data of 36,914 respondents during the last 6 months across all states of the country. A representative sample of 13,052 randomly selected respondents during July 18 to 24.


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