Valsad, one of the 26 seats of Gujarat, due to this trend is considered auspiciously crucial for political parties. Local leaders see it as their gateway to Delhi subsequent to their party's victory on this seat.

This belief of reaching the power corridor via Valsad has been validated by past records. Atal Bihari Vajpayee-led BJP for the first time won the seat in 1996 which helped the party to run a 13-day-long government at the Centre.

Vajpayee again got elected as Prime Minister in 1998 and 1999 after Valsad was then won by the BJP.

Subsequently in 2004, Congress candidate Kishan Patel snatched this seat from BJP which helped the party to form a coalition government at the Centre.

The Congress repeated the feat again in 2009.

Considering the co-incidental value of this seat, the BJP has fielded former Gujarat health minister Dr K C Patel while the Congress has repeated two-term Member of Parliament Kishan Patel.

Since 1977, Congress has won the seat for five times, BJP for three and independents for two terms in ten general elections. Whenever independents won, a non-Congress, non-BJP coalition government was formed at the Centre.

In 1977, Morarji Desai became the Prime Minister as a Janta Dal candidate won the seat.

Valsad Lok Sabha seat has 14.95 lakh voters which includes communities like Dhodiya (3.68 lakh), Koonkana (2.27), Varli (1.89), Koli (1 lakh), OBC (1 lakh), Halpati (65 thousand), fishermen (45,000), Muslims (55,000) and Bheel

Ten candidates are in the fray from Valsad in the 2014 Lok Sabha polls.

BJP candidate Patel believes that he will emerge victorious due to anti- incumbency factor.

"Congress candidate's lead had reduced and he won the last election with 7,000 votes approximately. So we are assured about getting this seat," said Patel.

Patel said he has made his best efforts to win this 'lucky' seat to make Narendra Modi the country’s Prime Minister.

Congress candidate Kishan Patel's close aide said, "We are canvassing round-the-clock to retain this seat and we are sure that we will form the government at the Centre."

Political commentator Dinesh Shukla sees this 'lucky' seat factor as a mere coincidence in the electoral stats.

"Parties may believe in luck, but as far as Valsad's example is concerned it is merely a coincidental thing," Shukla said.

“Also, Valsad does not possess any uniqueness which has led to this particular trend,” he added.


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