New Delhi: Bharatiya Janata Party’s (BJP) prime ministerial candidate Narendra Modi has decided to contest from Varanasi with an aim to affect around three fourth seats of Uttar Pradesh and Bihar. Modi is hopeful that an increase in poll percentage will play an instrumental role in bringing a transformation of sorts in the overall electoral perspective.

In fact, there are 125 MPs in Uttar Pradesh, Madhya Pradesh, Jharkhand and Maharashtra, who got less than 20 percent votes in their respective constituencies last time. Besides, Uttar Pradesh, which plays a key role in the formation of government at Centre, also saw three-fourth MPs from the state grappling with a similar situation. It’s clear that the evolving trends among the electors during voting can have a profound influence in the overall region.

The Election Commission has been launching an awareness campaign among the voters for the last few years and even the political parties have also started stressing more on its drill to garner maximum number of votes. During the last year’s assembly elections, even a Naxal-hit state like Chhattisgarh witnessed a 70 percent voter turnout. Compared to 2009 Lok Sabha polls, 2014 saw a massive increase in the number of voters as 10 crore more electors got included in the list.

This trend of growing number of voters is also testified by the fact that around one crore people got their names enrolled in the voters’ list during the last day of registration. It needs to be mentioned here that in an average, almost every constituency in Uttar Pradesh has seen an addition of 2.25 lakh voters. Interestingly, the candidates, who emerged victorious in 2009, bagged votes in the range of 2 to 2.50 lakh as well.

In such a situation, a sea change can be expected to be witnessed in around 125 Lok Sabha seats across the nation. There are 80 Lok Sabha seats in Uttar Pradesh and according to statistics, there were 64 candidates could fetch less than 20 percent votes in the last year’s general elections. Though, the voter turnaround was 60 percent at the national level. Similarly, 29 MPs in Bihar, 21 in Maharashtra, 10 in Jharkhand got less number of votes.  

Even if the voting dynamics of the related areas are taken into account, 22 elected candidates from Uttar Pradesh and five from Bihar could garner less than 30 percent votes in 2009.


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