New Delhi: In assembly elections to the five states, Uttar Pradesh holds immense importance not only for its elephantine girth but for its direct impact on the working of the Central government and its policies. From presidential elections to passage of bills presently lying in stalemate, everything to a large extent will be controlled by the UP government. The fate of over 90 Bills including Constitution Amendment Bill, Women Reservation Bill, Lokpal and Lokayukta Bill will be decided by the post-poll arithmetic by the major stake holding parties in the state.

Considering the expected fractured mandate in Uttar Pradesh, Uttarakhand, Punjab and Goa, if the Congress fails to come to power then its consequences will be clearly visible on the bills whose passage have been deferred.

The struggling journey after the election results on March 6 will begin from NCTC meeting.  Interestingly, the UPA government will have to go hammer and tongs on March 12 to form consensus over the Nation Counter Terrorism Centre (NCTC).

The NCTC proposal laid down by the Centre has been opposed by the state governments. On Monday, in a meeting with the Lok Sabha Speaker Meira Kumar, the political parties raised questions on federal structure of the NCTC. Clearly, the Congress led UPA government will have to make serious efforts for clearance.

In 2012, the biggest challenge for the Congress led UPA-II government will be Presidential elections. In last elections, the Congress successfully garnered support in favour of Pratibha Patil by creating cracks within the NDA and took the SP, BSP and other parties into confidence. Ostensibly, this time the SP, BSP will oppose the central government, if the Congress fails to form coalition with them.